Ascend Research

SRAD earnings

Analysis, not advice
Next print
2026-11-04
cons 0.10 EPS / 0.42B rev
What the desk is testing

Explicit conditions that would change the desk's view — graded after the call.

Bull condition triggered: World Cup revenue uplift ≥20% YoY in Marketing & Media Services + MTS combined, sport-rights expense steps down toward 32–33% of revenue in Q2 confirming the 2H normalization
Bull condition triggered: A major prediction market commercial agreement (signed, not in discussion) with a named league, exchange, or operator is announced on or before this print. This is the option
2 more criteria on the deskfree trial · no card
From the desk's pre-read

SRAD is scheduled to print Q2 2026 results on 2026-08-03. FMP consensus: EPS $0.07 · Revenue $0.44B.

1 more — the full pre-read is on the deskfree trial · no card
The desk's graded verdict
wobblinggraded 2026-08-03
FAILSport Rights Step-Down below 33% of revenue

"Sport rights expenses... 137,752" / "Revenue... 377,815" (137,752/377,815 = 36.5%) · press release financial tables

UNRESOLVEDWorld Cup Revenue Inflection ≥20% combined MMS + MTS uplift

Marketing & Media Services... 47,413... 16%

2 more resolved criteria + the full narrative on the deskfree trial · no card

Educational analysis, not a personalised recommendation. See all covered names on the earnings calendar · part of our public track record.