Ascend Research

PLTR earnings

Analysis, not advice

The company is a high-margin technology business with about $7.3B in trailing revenue, up roughly 87% year over year, an ~85% gross margin and a ~46% operating margin (up from ~22% a year earlier). It was surfaced by an upgrade from Cautious to Buy, and at about $178 a share (~$460B market cap, ~125x trailing earnings) the valuation is a central part of the debate.

This print
3 Aug 2026reported — not yet graded
cons 0.34 EPS / 1.81B rev
Next scheduled print 1 Feb 2027. Nothing on this page is about that print yet.
What the desk tested

Explicit conditions that would change the desk’s view — grading follows the transcript.

Bull condition triggered: US Commercial revenue growth holds ≥40% YoY AND AIP customer count accelerates sequentially — this is the recognition signal that the AI platform moat is widening into a dura…
Bull condition triggered: Adjusted operating margin expands to ≥40% with management guiding toward further expansion — operating leverage flipping meaningfully confirms the "fast grower compounding in…
+3 more criteria on the desksign up free
From the desk's pre-read · 3 Aug 2026

PLTR is scheduled to report Q2 2026 earnings on 2026-08-03; FMP consensus stands at $0.35 EPS · $1.81B revenue.

+1 more — the full pre-read is on the desksign up free
The desk's graded verdict

The 3 Aug 2026 print is not graded yet. It lands here once the desk has published against the transcript.

Bull case

Revenue is growing fast while operating margin has more than doubled, free cash flow is about $4.1B (roughly 55% of revenue), and the balance sheet carries almost no debt, so the business is scaling profitably.

Bear case

At ~125x trailing earnings and roughly 60x trailing sales, the price already assumes years of sustained hypergrowth, and stock-based compensation of about 13% of revenue and a sharp growth slowdown would put that premium at risk.

Educational analysis, not a personalised recommendation. See all covered names on the earnings calendar · part of our public track record.